Forecast Discussion

2012-02-17T04:00:00.000-10:00

Typical tradewind flow will re-establish while an upper level trough over the area will heighten chances for afternoon showers into the weekend.

North Pacific Surface Analysis

Hawaii IR Satellite Loop
Barking Sands Observations
Fleet Numerical Models
Kauai Radar

At Barking Sands, cloud cover will increase slightly with daytime heating. Much of the high cloud cover has moved out of the area.

Sky Condition:

AM: Party Cloudy
PM: Partly to Mostly Cloudy

Weather:

Fair, Possible Afternoon Showers

Winds:
AM: E 3-8kt
PM: NW 8-13G18kt

Temperatures:

High: 82°F/28°C
Low: 69°F/21°C
Sea: 75°F/24°C

Sea State (Northern BARSTUR):

Wind Waves: NNE 5ft 6s
Swell: NW 6ft 14s
Combined: NW 5-7ft

Near Shore Forecast Extending From Coastline Out To 2 Miles:

North of Nohili Point:
Winds:
AM: NE 5-10G15kt
PM: NE 5-10G15kt
Combined Seas: NW 5-7ft

South of Nohili Point:
Winds:
AM: ESE 3-8kt
PM: W 5-10G15kt
Combined Seas: N 4-6ft

Fleet Numerical WW3 Ocean Prediction Model
Hawaii Buoy Reports
2011 Tidal Data (Waimea Bay, Kauai)
Hawaii NOTMARs

Thunderstorm Potential Today:
NONE

Thunderstorm Potential Outlook (72hr):
NONE

***Although the forecast may not indicate, it should be understood that Thunderstorm activity could produce strong and gusty winds, heavy precipitation, lightning, hail, and flash flooding; along with severe turbulence and icing for aircraft operating within the vicinity.

Swell and Surf:
Surf will lower to overhead to near double overhead.

.

Aviation Weather (PHBK):
Clouds
AM: FEW020 FEW-SCT050
PM: SCT020 SCT-BKN050
Weather:
AM: None
PM: Possible -SHRA
Surface Winds
AM: 09005kt
PM: 34008G18kt
Visibility: Unrestricted
Flight Level Winds (kt)/Temperatures (°C)
010: 04010/13
030: 04010/11
050: 04010/07
100: 01015/05
150: 34010/M03

200: 27015/M18

250: 27010/M26
300: 33015/M43
Cloud Bases: 2,000ft AGL
Min Ceiling: 5,000ft AGL
Max Low Cloud Tops: 7,500ft MSL
Freezing level: 13,500ft MSL
Turbulence: MOD SFC-060
Icing: None
Min Altimeter: 30.08ins
Max PA: 1545ft
Max DA: -150ft

NOAA Aviation Weather Center
Look up TAFs/METARs
NOTAMs

Pilots, please call the office anytime to file a DD FORM-175-1. For each request, the following information will be needed: (1) Date of Flight; (2) Aircraft Type/Number/Call Sign; (3) Departure Point and Time; (4) Flight Level; (5) Destination(s)/Alternates (in case destination field is below minimums); (6) Time of arrival; (7) Name of Pilot Receiving Brief.
An HWD (Horizontal Weather Depiction) will be provided for all transpacific/mainland flights. OPARs (Optimum Path Aircraft Routing) Data can also be provided upon request to best configure fuel consumption efficiency. Completed requests can be faxed, picked-up, or delivered.

48hr Weather Outlook: Saturday
Skies: Partly to Mostly Cloudy
Weather: Possible Afternoon Showers
Winds: NW 8-13G18kt

72hr Weather Outlook: Sunday
Skies: Partly to Mostly Cloudy
Weather: Possible Afternoon Showers
Winds: N 8-13G18kt

The next forecast will be issued on Tuesday, February 21, 2012.

Additional METOC Links:

National Weather Service Honolulu
Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center

Barking Sands Weather Forecast

Forecast Discussion